Intraday Trading Strategies : No 9 | Counter Bull Trap Scalping Strategy

In this “Intraday Trading Strategies : No 9”, we will discuss “Counter Bull Trap Scalping Strategy”. This we can apply when we can expect prices to go down.Intraday Trading strategies table

Concept

  1. Moving average is a lagging indicator which means it follows price movement and gives confirmation of an ongoing trend to a trader.
  1. When candle closes above 20 EMA in a downtrend, then there are chances of reversal on the upside. There will be lot of traders who will take early entry assuming that trend has reversed. If we see Bearish candlestick pattern after 20 EMA is broken upside, we will enter the trade in the direction of downtrend. All traders who previously entered early assuming that trend has reversed , are now trapped and they will exit giving us profit.

Counter Bull Trap Scalping Strategy

Indicator used: 20 EMA

Entry Rule

Step 1: Identify downtrend in a 1 min timeframe. Now the question is how will you identify the same? So look for 2 things

  1. Prices should be below 20 EMA
  2. 20 EMA should be sloping downwards.
Intraday Trading strategies Fig 1
Figure 1: In this Bank Nifty chart ( 1 min timeframe ) , there are 3 sections highlighted . Section 1 and Section 3 are range bound and Section 2 is where prices are in downtrend.

Step 2: Wait for a green candle to close above 20 EMA during retracement. This will be our “alert candle”

Step 3: If the red candle (It should be strong red candle and not a small body candle) is formed after green candle (Alert candle) and closed between the body of green alert candle then we will enter the trade. ( This red candle is now our entry candle )

Intraday Trading Strategies
Figure 2: In this Bank Nifty chart prices are in downtrend . There is a retracement happened and green candle is closed above 20 EMA line ( Blue colored line). Big green candle is our “Alert candle”. Next red candle ( Marked with arrow ) closed inside green candle and hence become our “Entry candle”.
Intraday Trading Strategies
Figure 3 : In this chart , a trader can enter at the candle marked with a circle but it might not be a very good entry as a clear downtrend has not started . The entry marked with arrow is a high probability entry as prices are clearly in downtrend and also there was an earlier rejection at same level earlier ( Marked with a circle )

Stop Loss

Stop loss will be high of Alert or Entry candle (Whichever candle high is higher )

Intraday Trading strategies
Figure 4 : The stop loss which is high of green or red candle is basically swing high level
Intraday Trading Strategies
Figure 5: In this chart prices are clearly in downtrend. Once green candle closed above 20 EMA , traders will jump assuming trend has reversed. As per our strategy a trader can enter at black arrow ( red candle is not very strong ) or green arrow ( strong red candle rejection and its also a bearish engulfing pattern too ). Stop loss is hit in this trade at candle marked with yellow arrow.

Exit Rule

For this strategy we will keep risk reward of 2 and hence our target will be at least double of our risk in the trade. There are two ways you can exit:

  1. Exit once you get the risk reward of 2 (You can also trail the stop loss after getting risk reward of 1)
  2. Exit once the prices touch low of retracement leg.
Intraday Trading strategies Fig 6
Figure 6: Retracement leg started from low of red candle and once we get entry as per our setup , a trader can also exit at low of retracement leg.

Important points to consider basis this setup

  1. This is scalping strategy in 1 min timeframe so entry and exit must be very fast.
  2. It will be a high probability setup if the stop loss level is also some resistance level (Like CPR or a previous supply zone or Previous day high (PDH) or previous swing high etc.)
  3. Scalping should be done once you have good experience in trading as the prices move very fast in 1 min timeframe.
  4. Scalping involves multiple entry and exit and hence trader might experience mental exhaustion.

Backtesting

Always backtest the strategy before taking actual trades in market. The strategy should suit your trading style and psychology.

 

 

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